Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.786323 5.609897 6.492120 7.503032 8.624866 9.827228 11.208832
2025-11-23 3.553157 4.650334 5.916967 7.468927 9.300409 11.374535 13.881911
2025-11-30 2.892473 4.185234 5.779711 7.846884 10.410617 13.441102 17.247095
2025-12-07 2.266954 3.631323 5.427532 7.883838 11.071047 14.983523 20.060722
2025-12-14 1.671456 2.990774 4.851618 7.537528 11.180039 15.814520 22.013706
2025-12-21 1.246656 2.497858 4.387384 7.258186 11.312422 16.638350 23.953384
2025-12-28 1.076428 2.359402 4.401751 7.625327 12.312998 18.611742 27.423217
2026-01-04 0.965452 2.294336 4.510070 8.122958 13.506688 20.876033 31.339590
2026-01-11 0.857792 2.210886 4.571940 8.543323 14.598231 23.029260 35.163735
2026-01-18 0.710556 2.018335 4.424712 8.617608 15.174916 24.478089 38.065848
2026-01-25 0.550092 1.756658 4.118866 8.402290 15.292199 25.268332 40.070578
2026-02-01 0.429717 1.546750 3.871891 8.251768 15.484021 26.153283 42.211816
2026-02-08 0.334255 1.368750 3.663725 8.155417 15.765851 27.197641 44.640539
2026-02-15 0.258633 1.214339 3.476953 8.075663 16.063492 28.269869 47.135335
2026-02-22 0.229376 1.183150 3.540892 8.451271 17.116054 30.500152 51.351610
2026-03-01 0.182079 1.075957 3.423233 8.476927 17.585035 31.855965 54.323643
2026-03-08 0.124343 0.899001 3.114291 8.104536 17.355026 32.122944 55.692458
2026-03-15 0.084319 0.758134 2.859383 7.806121 17.224672 32.526624 57.258807
2026-03-22 0.075216 0.750021 2.938434 8.191149 18.308495 34.869155 61.779381
2026-03-29 0.071027 0.764930 3.080044 8.714171 19.655135 37.658329 67.022403
2026-04-05 0.064720 0.765037 3.181043 9.155933 20.868441 40.257837 72.018704
2026-04-12 0.050559 0.708397 3.115092 9.233712 21.421573 41.804376 75.433681
2026-04-19 0.033829 0.613446 2.918639 9.006970 21.400685 42.412821 77.414440